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Signal Performance
Signal performance is CryptoTradeSignals's transparent, forward-recorded ledger of how every active trading signal actually performs. For each signal we log how far the coin moved in the predicted direction, then report the win rate at each take-profit target (+1%, +2%, +3%) and the typical (median) follow-through — grouped by strategy, timeframe and conviction so you can see exactly which signals to trade.
63%Win rate @ +2%Share of resolved signals that reached +2% in the predicted direction before the stop — the win rate if you took profit at +2%.
56%Win rate @ +3%Share of resolved signals that reached +3% before the stop.
+4.2%Median peak moveThe typical furthest move in the predicted direction (median MFE) — half of signals ran further, half less. Median, so outliers don't inflate it.
−6.2%Median heatThe typical furthest move against a signal before it resolved (median MAE). Lower is better.
3dMedian time to resolveHalf of signals finish faster than this. Most resolve in days, not weeks.
+405.5%Best peak move · QNTThe single largest favorable move any recorded signal reached.
929Resolved signalsFinished signals (stopped or ran the full window). Win rates use these.
71Live nowSignals still open and being tracked forward from live price data.
Which signals actually win
Win rate at a +2% take-profit, by the strategy and timeframe that fired the signal — the single most useful cut, because it maps straight to your agent's strategy and timeframe filter.
Win rate @ +2% · by strategy · timeframe
| Strategy · timeframe | Signals | Win +1% | Win +2% | Win +3% | Median peak | Median heat | Raw stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend · 4h | 489 | 78% | 69% | 60% | +5.2% | −4.6% | 73% |
| Mean-reversion · 1d | 208 | 63% | 48% | 39% | +1.9% | −10.5% | 77% |
| Breakout · 1d | 130 | 71% | 68% | 66% | +9.7% | −7.7% | 26% |
| Trend · 1d | 102 | 68% | 60% | 52% | +3.6% | −12.0% | 68% |
* small sample (fewer than 20 resolved) — directional only. Raw stop assumes no take-profit and no trailing; the win-rate columns reflect how you actually exit.
Does conviction predict the win?
Win rate at +2% across conviction bands. If higher conviction reliably meant better trades, this would climb steadily left-to-right. Read the shape before you lean on a high minimum-conviction gate.
Win rate @ +2% · by conviction band
Faded bars are small samples (fewer than 20 resolved) — treat only the solid bars as reliable. Notice they sit in a flat mid-band, not a clean climb.
| Conviction | Signals | Win +1% | Win +2% | Win +3% | Median peak | Median heat | Raw stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < 40% | 452 | 78% | 69% | 61% | +5.3% | −4.5% | 73% |
| 40–45% | 29 | 76% | 62% | 55% | +4.6% | −5.3% | 72% |
| 45–50% | 26 | 85% | 77% | 58% | +4.7% | −9.1% | 65% |
| 50–55% | 16 * | 75% | 75% | 63% | +4.4% | −11.1% | 56% |
| 55–60% | 96 | 66% | 54% | 49% | +2.8% | −10.8% | 72% |
| 60–65% | 128 | 55% | 47% | 41% | +1.5% | −10.3% | 74% |
| 65–70% | 76 | 70% | 50% | 41% | +2.1% | −9.8% | 66% |
| 70–75% | 37 | 81% | 76% | 70% | +12.3% | −9.6% | 30% |
| 75–80% | 21 | 86% | 81% | 76% | +11.0% | −8.7% | 5% |
| 80–85% | 34 | 53% | 50% | 50% | +2.8% | −6.4% | 50% |
| 85–90% | 12 * | 83% | 83% | 83% | +10.5% | −16.2% | 0% |
| 90%+ | 2 * | 100% | 100% | 100% | +33.6% | −9.9% | 0% |
What this means for your agent
Strategy is the biggest lever. In this window, Trend · 4h signals reached +2% before their stop 69% of the time, versus just 48% for Mean-reversion · 1d. Point your agent's strategy / timeframe filter at the strong rows above.
Don't over-trust conviction alone. The conviction curve is uneven, not a clean rising line — a high minimum-conviction gate is not, by itself, a reliable edge here.
Set a take-profit that matches. Most signals resolve in 3d (median), and the win rates above are measured at fixed targets — a +2–3% take-profit realises them; holding for the raw stop does not.
Longs vs shorts
Is the engine sharper in one direction? Win rate at +2% and the typical move, by side.
| Direction | Signals | Reached +2% | Avg peak | Avg adverse |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long | 622 | 68% | +15.7% | −8.1% |
| Short | 378 | 56% | +7.3% | −6.3% |
By market regime
The market state when the signal fired. Each strategy is built for a specific regime.
| Regime | Signals | Win +1% | Win +2% | Win +3% | Median peak | Median heat | Raw stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-volatility | 427 | 77% | 69% | 63% | +6.8% | −5.0% | 55% |
| Range | 259 | 63% | 49% | 41% | +2.0% | −9.8% | 78% |
| Trend-up | 170 | 71% | 66% | 55% | +4.2% | −7.2% | 79% |
| Trend-down | 68 | 79% | 69% | 66% | +4.7% | −4.6% | 68% |
By manipulation risk (Trap Score)
Does a cleaner order book win more? Win rate and typical heat, by the coin's Trap Score at signal time.
| Trap band | Signals | Win +1% | Win +2% | Win +3% | Median peak | Median heat | Raw stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low (0–3) | 842 | 75% | 65% | 57% | +4.3% | −5.9% | 68% |
| Moderate (3–5) | 65 | 49% | 48% | 43% | +0.6% | −6.7% | 55% |
| Elevated (5–6) | 21 | 43% | 43% | 43% | +0.0% | −23.5% | 62% |
| High (6+) | 1 * | 100% | 100% | 100% | +5.2% | −35.8% | 0% |
How to read this page
Plain-language definitions for every column and term above.
- Win rate (per target)
- The share of RESOLVED signals whose price reached that take-profit target (+1/2/3%) in the predicted direction before the stop. Because the exit is your choice, we show a column per target — read the one that matches how you would exit.
- Median peak (MFE)
- The typical furthest move in the signal's favour before it resolved — the median, so a few giant outliers do not inflate it. Formally, median Maximum Favorable Excursion.
- Median heat (MAE)
- The typical furthest move against the signal before it resolved — the risk you would have sat through. Formally, median Maximum Adverse Excursion. Lower is better.
- Raw stop
- Worst case only: the share that eventually touched the engine's initial stop assuming NO take-profit and no trailing. A signal can run +2/3% (a win for most exits) and still later read here, so this is context, not the headline. The live agent trails its stop to protect gains.
- Strategy · timeframe
- The engine strategy that fired the signal (Trend, Mean-reversion or Breakout) and the timeframe it fired on (4h or 1d). This maps directly to your agent's strategy / timeframe filter.
- Conviction
- The engine's confidence in a signal, 0–100%. Grouped into bands so you can test whether higher conviction genuinely means a higher win rate (the curve above shows how weak or strong that link is).
- Regime
- The market state at signal time (trend-up, trend-down, range or high-volatility). Strategies are built for specific regimes.
- Trap Score
- Our 0–10 manipulation-risk gauge for the coin at signal time. Higher means more wash-trading, spoofing or squeeze risk — and, usually, more heat.
- Resolved / Live
- Resolved = the signal has finished (stopped or ran the full window). Live = still open and updating from price data. Win rates use resolved signals only.
- Generated (UTC / IST)
- The moment the signal first turned active, shown in both UTC and IST (UTC+5:30) so you can place it in your own day.
Biggest moves
The largest favorable moves recorded since tracking began — with each signal's conviction and status, so the headline “best peak move” is fully attributable.
| Coin | Direction | Conviction | Trap | Peak move | Adverse | Held | Status | Generated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QNT | Long | 72% | 3.4 | +405.49% | −5.95% | 14d | expired | Sep 23, 00:00 UTCSep 23, 05:30 IST |
| RLC | Long | 27% | 0.4 | +325.87% | −3.84% | 14d | expired | Sep 29, 12:00 UTCSep 29, 17:30 IST |
| IOST | Long | 63% | 2.4 | +253.76% | −0.00% | 14d | expired | Sep 6, 00:00 UTCSep 6, 05:30 IST |
| VTHO | Long | 81% | 1.9 | +161.73% | −5.75% | 14d | expired | Sep 9, 00:00 UTCSep 9, 05:30 IST |
| ARK | Long | 40% | 0.6 | +137.00% | −3.25% | 14d | expired | Sep 12, 04:00 UTCSep 12, 09:30 IST |
| NEAR | Long | 28% | 0.9 | +133.78% | −3.73% | 14d | expired | Sep 14, 04:00 UTCSep 14, 09:30 IST |
| NIGHT | Long | 27% | 2.0 | +123.51% | −2.86% | 14d | expired | Sep 24, 08:00 UTCSep 24, 13:30 IST |
| BAT | Long | 38% | 1.1 | +118.15% | −1.76% | 14d | expired | Oct 9, 00:00 UTCOct 9, 05:30 IST |
| STRK | Long | 85% | 1.5 | +115.47% | −18.29% | 14d | expired | Oct 5, 00:52 UTCOct 5, 06:22 IST |
| ZAMA | Long | 60% | 0.2 | +115.05% | −1.24% | 14d | expired | Sep 18, 00:00 UTCSep 18, 05:30 IST |
| ORCA | Long | 31% | 0.0 | +103.85% | −0.98% | 14d | expired | Sep 30, 20:00 UTCOct 1, 01:30 IST |
| MET | Long | 45% | 0.0 | +103.80% | −4.49% | 14d | expired | Sep 9, 22:12 UTCSep 10, 03:42 IST |
Recent signals
The latest signal per coin and direction, newest first — a re-firing signal shows once with a ×N count rather than repeating. Times in UTC and IST.
| Coin | Direction | Conviction | Trap | Peak move | Adverse | Held | Status | Generated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDO | Short | 32% | 0.2 | +0.00% | −0.00% | — | open | Nov 10, 04:00 UTCNov 10, 09:30 IST |
| GIGGLE ×2 | Short | 32% | 0.6 | +0.00% | −0.00% | — | open | Nov 10, 04:00 UTCNov 10, 09:30 IST |
| BONK ×2 | Long | 44% | 0.2 | +1.08% | −0.00% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| ENJ ×4 | Short | 32% | 2.7 | +1.22% | −0.17% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| DEXE | Short | 41% | 0.7 | +0.47% | −0.71% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| PUMP ×5 | Long | 57% | 0.7 | +0.33% | −1.44% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| BIO ×7 | Short | 28% | 0.7 | +0.51% | −0.81% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| REQ ×2 | Long | 67% | 0.0 | +1.05% | −0.00% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| PUNDIX ×4 | Long | 57% | 1.6 | +0.00% | −0.90% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| XNO ×2 | Long | 65% | 1.5 | +2.22% | −0.00% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| MANA | Short | 30% | 0.7 | +0.56% | −0.28% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| KITE ×3 | Long | 66% | 1.0 | +1.15% | −0.53% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| COW ×3 | Long | 58% | 1.1 | +0.48% | −0.57% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| RSR ×4 | Long | 60% | 0.9 | +0.00% | −4.65% | — | open | Nov 10, 00:00 UTCNov 10, 05:30 IST |
| RAY ×3 | Short | 34% | 0.7 | +0.00% | −4.74% | 30m | stopped | Nov 9, 11:30 UTCNov 9, 17:00 IST |
| HOT ×6 | Long | 35% | 3.0 | +13.96% | −5.49% | — | open | Nov 9, 04:00 UTCNov 9, 09:30 IST |
| BNT ×3 | Short | 91% | 2.1 | +1.05% | −3.35% | — | open | Nov 9, 00:00 UTCNov 9, 05:30 IST |
| CATI ×2 | Short | 78% | 1.0 | +0.93% | −12.81% | — | open | Nov 9, 00:00 UTCNov 9, 05:30 IST |
| SKL ×4 | Long | 59% | 0.2 | +1.30% | −8.59% | — | open | Nov 7, 00:00 UTCNov 7, 05:30 IST |
| CFX ×3 | Long | 55% | 0.1 | +0.25% | −9.31% | — | open | Nov 7, 00:00 UTCNov 7, 05:30 IST |
| RENDER ×2 | Short | 32% | 0.7 | +0.00% | −5.23% | 4.5h | stopped | Nov 6, 11:30 UTCNov 6, 17:00 IST |
| ATOM ×3 | Short | 43% | 2.0 | +9.99% | −1.91% | — | open | Nov 6, 08:00 UTCNov 6, 13:30 IST |
| ASTER | Short | 32% | 0.0 | +8.75% | −0.89% | — | open | Nov 6, 08:00 UTCNov 6, 13:30 IST |
| SFP ×3 | Short | 34% | 0.8 | +0.00% | −4.88% | 4.8h | stopped | Nov 6, 03:10 UTCNov 6, 08:40 IST |
| GPS ×4 | Short | 32% | 0.2 | +6.13% | −5.62% | 4d | stopped | Nov 6, 00:50 UTCNov 6, 06:20 IST |
| DOGE ×2 | Short | 33% | 1.1 | +5.39% | −3.16% | — | open | Nov 6, 00:00 UTCNov 6, 05:30 IST |
| MINA ×2 | Short | 32% | 2.0 | +0.00% | −5.48% | 9.0h | stopped | Nov 6, 00:00 UTCNov 6, 05:30 IST |
| ZRX ×2 | Short | 32% | 1.7 | +6.99% | −3.28% | — | open | Nov 6, 00:00 UTCNov 6, 05:30 IST |
| PNUT ×2 | Short | 81% | 1.2 | +8.67% | −8.09% | — | open | Nov 6, 00:00 UTCNov 6, 05:30 IST |
| ICP | Short | 32% | 2.4 | +0.00% | −4.38% | 14.0h | stopped | Nov 6, 00:00 UTCNov 6, 05:30 IST |
| SHIB ×2 | Short | 32% | 1.7 | +5.75% | −2.43% | — | open | Nov 6, 00:00 UTCNov 6, 05:30 IST |
| SAHARA ×3 | Long | 57% | 0.5 | +0.00% | −10.16% | 3d | stopped | Nov 5, 23:30 UTCNov 6, 05:00 IST |
| MANTA ×3 | Long | 58% | 0.2 | +0.00% | −11.45% | 3d | stopped | Nov 5, 23:30 UTCNov 6, 05:00 IST |
| ATOM ×5 | Long | 57% | 1.0 | +0.00% | −8.80% | 2d | stopped | Nov 5, 23:30 UTCNov 6, 05:00 IST |
| PEOPLE ×6 | Long | 59% | 0.0 | +0.00% | −11.24% | 2d | stopped | Nov 5, 23:20 UTCNov 6, 04:50 IST |
| MET | Short | 28% | 1.3 | +0.98% | −5.41% | 21.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| TAO ×2 | Short | 24% | 0.3 | +1.99% | −4.30% | 19.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| BTC ×3 | Short | 22% | 0.0 | +3.38% | −0.62% | — | open | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| ALGO | Short | 30% | 1.6 | +2.15% | −4.61% | 24.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| POWR ×4 | Short | 36% | 0.0 | +6.53% | −3.92% | — | open | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| SOL ×2 | Short | 31% | 0.1 | +5.68% | −1.64% | — | open | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| BONK ×3 | Short | 27% | 0.0 | +1.43% | −5.38% | 18.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| ROSE ×2 | Short | 23% | 0.4 | +1.25% | −4.65% | 17.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| AUCTION ×3 | Long | 61% | 0.0 | +0.00% | −10.34% | 3d | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| ETC ×2 | Short | 29% | 0.8 | +1.74% | −3.48% | 19.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| HBAR ×4 | Short | 32% | 0.8 | +4.76% | −2.67% | — | open | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| THETA | Short | 31% | 0.0 | +4.21% | −4.69% | 22.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| KAVA | Short | 37% | 0.0 | +0.00% | −1.72% | 4.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| TFUEL | Short | 35% | 0.0 | +6.77% | −3.39% | — | open | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| XRP ×2 | Short | 28% | 0.0 | +13.49% | −0.11% | — | open | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| NIGHT | Short | 32% | 0.0 | +1.54% | −5.42% | 2d | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| KSM | Short | 33% | 0.1 | +0.63% | −4.43% | 15.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| COMP | Short | 32% | 1.8 | +0.73% | −4.25% | 17.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| JUP | Short | 28% | 0.0 | +0.67% | −5.14% | 16.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| ADA ×2 | Short | 24% | 0.6 | +2.47% | −4.12% | 22.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| AXS ×3 | Short | 27% | 0.1 | +0.25% | −4.31% | 16.0h | stopped | Nov 5, 16:00 UTCNov 5, 21:30 IST |
| HUMA ×2 | Short | 88% | 3.3 | +41.05% | −0.00% | — | open | Nov 5, 12:10 UTCNov 5, 17:40 IST |
| FET ×2 | Short | 30% | 0.3 | +14.29% | −0.57% | — | open | Nov 5, 12:00 UTCNov 5, 17:30 IST |
| DGB ×3 | Long | 69% | 0.6 | +22.44% | −8.01% | — | open | Nov 5, 00:00 UTCNov 5, 05:30 IST |
| CAKE ×7 | Long | 57% | 2.0 | +0.15% | −9.70% | 4d | stopped | Nov 5, 00:00 UTCNov 5, 05:30 IST |
| SENT ×5 | Long | 60% | 0.0 | +0.92% | −13.30% | 4d | stopped | Nov 5, 00:00 UTCNov 5, 05:30 IST |
| STX ×4 | Long | 59% | 0.2 | +1.59% | −14.26% | — | open | Nov 5, 00:00 UTCNov 5, 05:30 IST |
| BAT ×4 | Long | 54% | 1.2 | +0.00% | −17.61% | 3d | stopped | Nov 5, 00:00 UTCNov 5, 05:30 IST |
| BAND | Short | 29% | 0.0 | +12.72% | −2.21% | — | open | Nov 4, 20:00 UTCNov 5, 01:30 IST |
| WLFI | Short | 34% | 0.3 | +8.03% | −3.59% | — | open | Nov 4, 16:00 UTCNov 4, 21:30 IST |
| ETHFI ×4 | Long | 61% | 1.6 | +10.42% | −11.34% | — | open | Nov 4, 00:40 UTCNov 4, 06:10 IST |
| ORCA ×3 | Long | 58% | 0.0 | +6.86% | −9.03% | — | open | Nov 4, 00:00 UTCNov 4, 05:30 IST |
| SC ×3 | Long | 62% | 0.2 | +3.22% | −13.73% | 5d | stopped | Nov 4, 00:00 UTCNov 4, 05:30 IST |
| TFUEL ×5 | Long | 63% | 2.0 | +3.44% | −10.06% | 4d | stopped | Nov 2, 00:00 UTCNov 2, 05:30 IST |
| XPL ×2 | Short | 32% | 2.8 | +30.34% | −0.97% | — | open | Nov 2, 00:00 UTCNov 2, 05:30 IST |
| AMP ×9 | Long | 68% | 1.4 | +2.09% | −13.53% | — | open | Nov 1, 22:40 UTCNov 2, 04:10 IST |
| ZAMA ×2 | Short | 29% | 0.9 | +10.97% | −6.56% | — | open | Nov 1, 16:00 UTCNov 1, 21:30 IST |
| TRX ×3 | Short | 78% | 2.8 | +0.00% | −7.07% | — | open | Nov 1, 00:00 UTCNov 1, 05:30 IST |
| FF ×5 | Long | 66% | 1.6 | +3.32% | −6.37% | — | open | Nov 1, 00:00 UTCNov 1, 05:30 IST |
| PROVE ×3 | Long | 63% | 4.3 | +1.24% | −23.09% | — | open | Nov 1, 00:00 UTCNov 1, 05:30 IST |
| BTC ×2 | Long | 68% | 0.2 | +4.66% | −5.25% | 8d | stopped | Nov 1, 00:00 UTCNov 1, 05:30 IST |
| SUN ×2 | Short | 57% | 2.1 | +0.00% | −4.15% | 33.0h | stopped | Nov 1, 00:00 UTCNov 1, 05:30 IST |
| ASTER ×2 | Long | 60% | 1.6 | +2.01% | −7.62% | 8d | stopped | Nov 1, 00:00 UTCNov 1, 05:30 IST |
| SSV ×3 | Short | 91% | 2.2 | +10.73% | −4.71% | — | open | Oct 31, 00:10 UTCOct 31, 05:40 IST |
| NEXO | Short | 59% | 5.1 | +8.21% | −2.87% | — | open | Oct 31, 00:00 UTCOct 31, 05:30 IST |
| DUSK | Short | 71% | 0.0 | +23.75% | −1.34% | — | open | Oct 31, 00:00 UTCOct 31, 05:30 IST |
| CRV ×2 | Short | 83% | 3.3 | +14.54% | −0.97% | — | open | Oct 31, 00:00 UTCOct 31, 05:30 IST |
| IMX ×6 | Short | 86% | 2.3 | +11.24% | −3.72% | — | open | Oct 31, 00:00 UTCOct 31, 05:30 IST |
| TRB ×3 | Long | 57% | 0.8 | +2.91% | −12.96% | 9d | stopped | Oct 31, 00:00 UTCOct 31, 05:30 IST |
| HIVE | Long | 57% | 0.0 | +0.63% | −8.82% | 4d | stopped | Oct 31, 00:00 UTCOct 31, 05:30 IST |
| OSMO ×3 | Long | 32% | 0.6 | +2.14% | −11.26% | 3d | stopped | Oct 31, 00:00 UTCOct 31, 05:30 IST |
| XRP ×3 | Long | 62% | 0.0 | +6.72% | −6.73% | 7d | stopped | Oct 31, 00:00 UTCOct 31, 05:30 IST |
| ARB ×4 | Long | 60% | 0.0 | +15.06% | −8.14% | — | open | Oct 31, 00:00 UTCOct 31, 05:30 IST |
| TRX ×19 | Long | 83% | 4.0 | +0.00% | −7.15% | 40m | stopped | Oct 30, 23:20 UTCOct 31, 04:50 IST |
| SUN ×16 | Long | 60% | 4.2 | +0.00% | −6.13% | 1.7h | stopped | Oct 30, 22:20 UTCOct 31, 03:50 IST |
| MORPHO | Short | 32% | 0.0 | +1.41% | −6.01% | 24.0h | stopped | Oct 30, 12:00 UTCOct 30, 17:30 IST |
| SUSHI ×2 | Short | 32% | 2.8 | +0.32% | −4.97% | 7.0h | stopped | Oct 30, 08:00 UTCOct 30, 13:30 IST |
| LTC | Short | 33% | 0.0 | +11.96% | −1.95% | — | open | Oct 30, 08:00 UTCOct 30, 13:30 IST |
| PROVE ×5 | Short | 37% | 1.0 | +0.00% | −13.74% | 40m | stopped | Oct 30, 07:20 UTCOct 30, 12:50 IST |
| RVN ×4 | Short | 39% | 2.0 | +13.00% | −6.46% | — | open | Oct 30, 04:00 UTCOct 30, 09:30 IST |
| RED | Short | 25% | 2.0 | +0.00% | −7.71% | 17.0h | stopped | Oct 30, 04:00 UTCOct 30, 09:30 IST |
| JASMY | Short | 84% | 1.3 | +10.11% | −6.12% | — | open | Oct 30, 00:00 UTCOct 30, 05:30 IST |
| HIVE ×2 | Short | 32% | 0.0 | +2.83% | −3.92% | 15.0h | stopped | Oct 30, 00:00 UTCOct 30, 05:30 IST |
| NEO ×3 | Short | 32% | 0.0 | +12.23% | −3.60% | — | open | Oct 30, 00:00 UTCOct 30, 05:30 IST |
| AVNT ×3 | Short | 81% | 0.6 | +17.27% | −3.41% | — | open | Oct 30, 00:00 UTCOct 30, 05:30 IST |
About this data
How is signal performance measured?
For every signal that becomes active we record its entry and the engine's stop, then track the coin forward from price data. For each take-profit target (+1/2/3/5%) we record whether the coin reached it before the stop — that is the win rate — plus the median follow-through (MFE) and the median heat taken (MAE). Nothing is back-fitted; it is recorded live as signals fire.
Why win rate "per target" instead of one success number?
Because the exit is the trader's choice. One trader takes profit at +2%, another at +3%, another trails. So we show the win rate at each target — the share of signals that reached it before the stop — and you read the column that matches how you (or your agent) would exit.
What does "Raw stop" mean, and why is it not the headline?
Raw stop is the share of signals that eventually touched the engine's initial stop assuming NO take-profit and no trailing — a deliberate worst case. A signal can run +2% or +3% (a win for most exits) and still later drift back to that raw stop, so a high raw-stop figure does not mean the signal was a losing trade. The win-rate columns reflect how people actually trade.
Does a signal need a trade to be recorded?
No. Every active signal is recorded whether or not a trade was taken, so the ledger reflects the engine's true hit rate rather than a curated subset.
Is this a guarantee of future results?
No. This is transparent historical performance of live signals and a research tool. It is a limited, recent window — crypto trading carries significant risk and past performance does not guarantee future results.